Derma Tamon

Posted 8-10 since win over Nakayama 1800m and rising to this level. Likely hampered by sloppy going last out but is looking a bit heavy in work. May not be competitive amid this field. 

Estimate

Miho-based colt started out in JRA races, moved to NAR for successful 4-race period (three wins) before returning to JRA. Moved from 7 furlongs to 9. More distance and sloppy track seemed to suit with win around 3 weeks ago over Nakayama 1800m. Moving up in class.

Fumus Mut

Had best 4th from 6 starts last out with surprise forward attack at Hanshin. But was still about 10 lengths behind winner and out of wind in stretch. Only 15 days between races. Condition on raceday key, but a tough turnaround.

Gold Breeze

Miho-based 5-year-old with early speed returning after 3 months off and two double-digit finishes at this level. Did show some nice footwork in morning trackwork last week, but likely not promising here. Condition on raceday key.

Meiner Sahara

Miho-based colt won at class below in mid January. A month later raced at Tokyo good and finished near rear in what was likely a prep and improvement is expected. One pace but solid runner. Ample chance.

Queen’s Mimosa

5-year-old mare has proven relatively consistent, with 7 career starts finishing on board. Moved up in class at end of March and came close to winning from far off pace over sloppy track in Nakayama 1800m. Good over any surface.

Satono Alex

Gelding finally notched second win in January after more than two and a half years of trying. Chronically misses break, but recently has been reaching top five nonetheless. Only made ninth in first try at this level. Looking in good shape, lean with nice muscle tone. Could surprise.

Speed Soldier

Colt has best a 9th in four starts at this level. Lacks speed, likely not a contender.

Suzuka Rubicon

Miho-based 5-year-old racing for first time at Nakayama. Only two of last 7 finishes at this level on board, none in money. Speed likely lacking but change of venue could bring surprise.

Sweet Fil

5-year-old mare has two seconds from last 7 starts at this level, largely at this distance and venue. March 25, new jockey Akihide Tsumura sent her to the front for the first time. Held ground and lost by only a neck. Best results have come over soft or sloppy ground, but can handle all going. Could surprise with right conditions again.

Takeru Jack

Won over Niigata 1800m on dirt at level below but was switched to grass after two poor results. Has best a 7th in last 6 starts at this level. No surprises expected with return to dirt.

Ten War Cry

Posted 5-9-6 since moving to this class, with last finish only 2.3 lengths off winner and over Nakayama 1800m. Miho-based. Speed likely not competitive here but could surprise.

Toa Shion

7-year-old gelding has 3 finishes in top three from 7 starts at this level, all at 1700-1800m. Excellent late speed. Was disadvantaged by slow break from inside gate last out. Worth a wager.

Wahnfried

Easily the best bet of the field, this colt has only missed the money three times in career 10 starts. Versatile with excellent late speed. Posted 3-2 since rising to this class, both starts over Nakayama 1800m.

Yelloween

Filly is just 3 weeks off first start at this level, a sixth place over a sloppy track in the Nakayama 1800m, only 2.5 lengths behind the winner. A solid horse when the conditions are tough, otherwise likely not competitive amid this field.

Yonku

Miho 7-year-old still going strong with 5-7-3-5 this year. Can handle any going. Solid candidate to round out a trio.