In the third instalment of The Hong Kong Jockey Club’s Road to the Derby series, we zero in on a pair of Frankie Lor-trained up and comers with the potential to make an impact in the 2025/26 Four-Year-Old Classic Series.

With less than four weeks until the first leg of the prestigious series – the HK$13 million Hong Kong Classic Mile (1600m) on 1 February – and with the 149th HK$26 million BMW Hong Kong Derby (2000m) on 22 March on the horizon, Numbers and Regal Gem have both built ratings that will ensure them a start should their esteemed handler choose to head that way.

Numbers looks certain to play a part in the Four-Year-Old Classic Series after an impressive last-start victory, with the gelding flashing his stamina with an all-the-way victory in the Class 2 Long Ke Handicap (2000m) on 27 December.

Smartly away under Derek Leung, Numbers enjoyed a sedate first 400m in front before injecting some serious pace into the race during the second sectional – clocking 1.22 seconds inside standard between the 1600m and the 1200m – before continuing to apply the pressure and eventually finding enough to hold off Winning Wing by a length.

By Tivaci out of Zabeel mare Sheezababe, Numbers came to Hong Kong with his stamina credentials already proven after finishing second in the G1 Queensland Derby (2400m) in June.

“It was a nice win. The 2000m was good and I think 2400m will still be okay,” said Lor, agreeing Numbers possesses similar traits to his former charge Dark Dream, who won the Queensland Derby before running fourth behind stablemate Furore in the 2019 BMW Hong Kong Derby.

“At this moment I can’t see too many four-year-olds that can handle 2000m – (Sagacious Life) could be one of them but (Invincible Ibis) only won over 1600m last time. But I think there are still some four-year-old PPs to come out so we don’t know exactly at this moment what the Derby will look like.”

After securing his owners, the 23/24 Frankie Lor Fu Chuen Trainer Syndicate – who raced Unbelievable in the 2024 BMW Hong Kong Derby – a HK$3 million Private Purchase Bonus for his victory on 27 December, Numbers will have one more run before likely entering the Four-Year-Old Classic Series in the HK$13 million Hong Kong Classic Cup (1800m) on 1 March.

“Maybe we will skip the (Classic Mile) because the 1600m will probably be a bit short for him. The Classic Cup could be better,” said Lor.

“I will talk to the owners about his next move – we will give him one more race before the Classic Cup. It’s just whether it’s 2000m or 1800m.”

Numbers jumped to a rating of 90 after his first Hong Kong win – he finished third on debut in the city at Happy Valley earlier in December – and he’s joined by stablemate Regal Gem as horses impressing during their Classic season.

Sitting on a mark of 83 after three Happy Valley 1200m wins from nine Hong Kong starts, Northern Hemisphere three-year-old Regal Gem is the joint leader of the DBS x Manulife Million Challenge and may target the riches in that competition – which concludes on 4 February – rather than the Hong Kong Classic Mile.

“Maybe he will go to the Classic Series, but maybe not because we will be looking at Happy Valley first and trying to win the Million Challenge. Maybe we will aim for that. I’ll run him on (14 January) and then we’ll decide,” said Lor of Regal Gem, who was a recent sixth over the extended Happy Valley mile in his first run over further than 1400m.

“For me 1600m should be no problem because last time with Zac (Purton) on at his first time at 1650m he jumped and then he couldn’t get cover. He sat second all the way with no cover and he still finished sixth, only two and a half lengths behind the winner, so it wasn’t too bad.”

The Contenders

Road to the Derby: Exciting Brazilian import Sagacious Life aims to add Hong Kong to his Derby honours roll

Road to the Derby: Invincible Ibis underlines potential as Mark Newnham seeks more Four-Year-Old Classic Series glory