Horse Racing
Season
Goodluck Handicap - Form Comments

23/12/2022 16:10

2500m – Turf

Achernar Star Raced primarily over 9-10 furlongs in 12 career starts with 4-8-10 from three starts at this level. Travels from far off pace with decent late speed. Extra distance a plus. Longshot, but primed and could surprise.
Cite Florale Raced almost exclusively to left with only one sixth at Nakayama. Has posted 4-5-4 since moving to this level. Last start late November. after 6 months off. Longest distance yet but improvement expected. Speed good, likely competitive among this field.
Danon Greater Has failed to make the top three in last 21 starts. Third time at Nakayama but change of venue likely not a help. Looking sluggish in work. Not promising.
Dream Impact Highly consistent with only 3 finishes from 10 out of the top three. Is now 2-4 since moving to this class. Raced largely over 9-11 furlongs but has won over Fukushima 2600m. Second start after layoff, improvement expected. Looking sharp in work. Miho-based. Ample chance.
Fidelio Green Chronically late at break, but with decent late speed that has seen a best 6th over Nakayama 2500m. Has better results at 9-10 furlongs. Not promising.
Geofront Has failed to make top three in 9 starts since moving to this level. Being given more distance. Returned after 6 months in late November. Improvement expected. Looking smart in work. Could surprise.
Let Me Out Posted 6-6-5 since moving to this class, including last start over Nakayama 2500m in early December. Honest runner but needs more fight.
Lily Bright Returned to JRA races after success on local circuit. Won at class below over Nakayama 2000m but has best fifth (others double-digit) in 4 starts that followed. Likely not competitive here.
Marino Sophia Rose to this level 17 starts ago with six finishes in the money. Raced primarily over 9-10 furlongs. Extra distance not expected to help. Likely not competitive here.
Mawson Peak Highly consistent with only two finishes off board, three out of the money. Has finished close second or third in five of six starts at this level. Returned after 5 1/2 months for third over Nakayama 2500m, followed by same over Tokyo 2400m. Versatile racing style, good over any going. Three may be the charm.
Meiner Messiah Somewhat difficult colt. Dedicated stayer moving up in class after capturing 2nd win on 7th try. Both wins over Fukushima 2600m. Finished 5th over Nakayama 2500m in September. Nakayama a higher bar than Fukushima but has ample chance amid this field. Maintaining condition.
Red Valiente Colt rising quickly through the ranks over distances of 10-12 furlongs. Missed win by neck in first start at this level last out end October. Stalks pace. First time at Nakayama. Both wins to left over 2200m, but competitive racing to right. Engine slightly slow to fire, excellent late speed, extra half furlong shouldn’t pose a problem, especially amid this field. Better over slightly heavy ground.
Success Shoot Moving up in class on 7th career start. Has won over Nakayama 1800m and 2000m. First time over distance and first race in over 3 months. Venue suits. Has chance.
Top Reach Raced almost solely over dirt, being switched to grass. One previous start on turf not promising. Returned after 6 months off for jump race late last month. Lots of unknowns with little promise.
Win Erfolg Fourth-place finisher here last year has failed to make money in following 4 starts at this level, but made board in all but one. Could reach the top three with right trip. Starts poorly but holds ground well in final stage. Not to be disregarded.
Win Vacances Posted 6-11 since moving to this level, both over 2600m. Tends to run close to pace with best results over flat tracks.  Returning unprepped after 4 months off. Nakayama a high bar.